Nicholas Kollerstrom's
Newton's 1702 Lunar Theory
The lunar method used and published by Flamsteed consisted of three steps or 'equations' and was derived from Jeremiah Horrox. As the Astronomer Royal, Flamsteed had lost hope of being able to find longitude by using this approach, though it was the primary reason for the setting up of the Observatory at Greenwich in 1676, and he viewed use of the positions of the moons of Jupiter as a more reliable method.
Astronomers started from tables of 'mean motions' which were points on the ecliptic moving with uniform angular speed, and then used 'equations' to derive the actual positions of the heavenly bodies as deviations from these mean motions. First came the 'annual equations' which in Newton's theory were applied to the node and apse line, as well as the Sun and Moon. These were called annual because they increased and decreased in a yearly cycle.
Horrox's theory worked kinematically, having a deferentwheel that revolved once per conjunction of the Sun and the mean apse line (Figure 1 left). Varying eccentricity and an oscillating apse line were both linked to the Sunapse angle. Newton observed to Flamsteed that the Horroxian theory generated lunar longitude errors of up to twelve arcminutes, which was far from adequate. For comparison, the prizes offered in the next century for 'finding the longitude' began at one degree of terrestrial longitude, which is equivalent to some two minutes of lunar longitude.
A lunar theory started with five mean motions, for the Sun, Moon, lunar node, lunar apse and aphelion, as linearly timedependent functions moving around the ecliptic. These then became 'equated' in a series of steps. An 'equation' did not then signify a formula, but rather a quantity, measured in minutes or degrees, whereby a mean value was improved, to obtain something nearer to its actual value. For the lunar nodes, Kepler and Brahe had found just one such equation. The Sun likewise was given one 'equation' by astronomers, viz its equation of centre.
In the case of the Moon, from Ptolemy to Copernicus there had remained two such 'equations', namely the evection and equation of centre; two more having been added by Kepler and Tycho Brahe, viz. the annual equation and Variation. The key feature of Horrox's theory was its compression of the two classical inequalities into one, which caused both the eccentricity and apse line to covary, resulting in a threestage process: firstly the annual equation, then the equation of centre, and thirdly the Variation.
On Flamsteed's version of the Horroxian theory, the annual equation of the Moon had a maximal value of twelve arcminutes, for the equation of centre this was 6°20', and for the variation, thirtyeight arcminutes. Thus the second was far the largest 'equation'. Finally, from the node's equated position one obtained the 'reduction', to convert longitude positions from the plane of the lunar orbit to that of the ecliptic.
Newton tried and failed in 1694/5 to infer the lunar inequalities from his theory of gravity, whereby his initial optimism gave way to frustration. The first edition of the Principia (1687) had contained nothing of assistance to the practical astronomer in this respect. It credibly linked the two inequalities discovered by Kepler and Brahe, viz. the annual equation and variation, to the new theory of gravity, and it claimed that the rocking apse line could be likewise accounted for by that theory, however it lacked what was most desired, namely a procedure for locating lunar latitude and longitude. The celebrated 'Moontest' in the First Edition which linked celestial and terrestrial physics used only simple uniform circular motion, with the Earth at the centre.
A myth belonging to the 1690s which has rolled down the centuries is the notion that Newton abandoned his lunar endeavour because Flamsteed could not or would not provide him with adequate lunar data. The truth is rather the contrary, that Newton had been supplied with an unprecedented amount of positional data from Flamsteed  nigh on two hundred lunar positions  of a higher accuracy than any hitherto obtained. It was rather the inherent difficulty of the problem that caused this failure, if such it was.
In the year 1702 Newton's 'Theory of the Moon's Motion'
(TMM) was published, in a mathematicalastronomical textbook published
by David Gregory, who gave it its title. (For a facsimile of Gregory's
1715 printing, click here.) It featured
six new 'equations', such that the Moon became equated seven times.
Its procedure is given as a flow diagram in Figure 2 (right), where the
symbols refer to the values in celestial ongitude of:
The new lunar equations are the second, third, sixth and seventh, with the annual equation as the first and the Variation as the fifth. Also the node and apse line were given 'annual equations', making them vary seasonally. A Horroxian equation of centre forms the central fourth 'equation' of TMM, using the varying eccentricity E and the twiceequated apse A_{2}.
where E is the Earth's eccentricity.
To the mean apse, TMM added first an annual equation, here modelled by 20'sin(HS), which maximises at the equinoxes. This gave A_{1}, the firstequated apse value. The second equation of the apse was far larger and varied with the Sun's angle against this mean apse, adding which transformed A_{1} into A_{2}. We may write:
where f is a function using the cosine rule derived from the Newtonian instructions, as a trigonometric equivalent. Figure 1 shows TMM's diagram of this second apse equation.
An 'equation of centre' signified the divergence from uniform circular motion due to elliptical motion according to Kepler's second law. It had zero magnitude at the apogee/perigee positions and for the lunar orbit reached its maximum value of around seven degrees near the quadratures. Its solution involved approximations to the 'Kepler equation', or some other method for those astronomers who had not accepted Kepler's second law.
In creating the reconstruction of TMM, there was one stage where a modern formula was used in place of the historic procedure. Gingerich and Welther at the Smithsonian Institute found that Flamsteed's 'Equation of Centre' tables as published in 1681 concurred with values derived using the modern equation of centre formula within several arcseconds (Gingerich and Welther, 19734). See, Equation of Centre. Flamsteed was, they concluded, the first to prepare such tables based upon a solution of Kepler's area law. Newton's TMM of 1702 merely indicated that tables should be found for 'the Equation of the Moon's Centre, as in the common way'. Accordingly, the TMM program used the modern equation of centre, with input as the anomaly (A_{2}M_{3}) and the eccentricity E.


This introduction is derived from Nicholas Kollerstrom. 1996: "'A Reintroduction of Epicycles': Newton's 1702 Lunar Theory and Halley's Saros Correction," Quarterly Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society 36:357368.
The contents of this page remain the copyrighted, intellectual property of Nicholas Kollerstrom. Details. rev: May 1998